Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.508060 4.148139 4.899431 5.853608 7.043483 8.491940 10.409495
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.536276 3.303306 4.319030 5.791629 7.921892 10.972871 15.828792
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.093360 2.897321 4.047594 5.869180 8.790900 13.501842 22.144836
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.790395 2.596109 3.820296 5.900538 9.533325 16.014769 29.518657
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.616950 2.442972 3.767225 6.167336 10.707336 19.643706 40.825111
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.414651 2.204981 3.525194 6.041570 11.115614 21.945104 50.616308
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.273096 2.041884 3.375906 6.041982 11.758119 24.971204 64.147708
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.144397 1.880564 3.200246 5.948501 12.169817 27.630415 78.629491
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.065421 1.795014 3.147746 6.089324 13.146786 32.134378 102.858550
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.968288 1.663231 2.986068 5.962732 13.446275 34.940712 123.768451
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.939108 1.654346 3.063707 6.382890 15.273796 43.241339 177.622513
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.897897 1.616510 3.075632 6.652616 16.795202 51.494317 244.465313
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.852386 1.575304 3.097614 7.018640 18.962481 64.530617 374.363279
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.776698 1.465113 2.956941 6.954362 19.864310 73.861394 513.603879
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.722183 1.390967 2.883492 7.050434 21.368126 87.582751 752.892807
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.671208 1.317215 2.797742 7.089681 22.715721 102.333248 1096.202447
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.641542 1.286208 2.809524 7.423563 25.420371 128.744755 1852.144537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.591297 1.202085 2.674528 7.266083 26.028049 143.101160 2573.978433
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.553780 1.142865 2.594192 7.266597 27.374961 165.425691 3923.838952
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.515403 1.077159 2.486739 7.149648 28.137112 185.005311 5731.670239
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.492124 1.044923 2.464476 7.325860 30.516295 224.736880 10319.680568
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.459017 0.985030 2.357001 7.167445 31.055531 248.021365 15528.284117
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.451443 0.987580 2.426181 7.693845 35.899669 335.926661 42024.939461